In the days after Election 2012, which saw Democrats surge to a two-thirds supermajority in the California Legislature, Republicans insisted that the pendulum would soon swing back their way - that with "lower turnout" and "President Barack Obama no longer at the top of the ticket," voters would return the GOP to relevance in 2014. But three factors suggest the opposite may be true, and California Democrats may continue to rise in next year's midterms.
First, it turns out that the new Democratic supermajority is extremely popular with voters. Conversely, California Republicans remain in free-fall, recently dropping to fewer than 29% of the state's registered voters. But most importantly for 2014, a recent analysis pairing Assembly election results and President Obama's district-by-district performance reveals that even after their 2012 surge, Democrats still have more opportunities for growth than Republicans.